IFAIR All Is not Lost in Transatlantic Relations

The transatlantic community faces a multiplicity of challenges, such as increasing tensions with Russia, an uncertain future of nuclear arms control, on-going frictions in the area of trade and the rise of populism across the Atlantic. Not only do these developments put significant pressure on the transatlantic relationship, they also create political instability which is further deepened by the rhetoric and policies of the current US administration. Once at the core of the liberal international order, the U.S. is now represented by a President who openly embraces the actions of illiberal politicians and pursues an increasingly transactional approach to foreign policy by renouncing multilateral structures of cooperation and seeing the global order exclusively through the lens of strategic competition.

Redefining the Relationship

Although the transatlantic partners seem to have moved as far apart from each other as never before, the underlying assumption that the U.S. and Europe remain of vital importance to each other still holds true. Not only are both parties each other’s main trading partners, the EU – as the largest economy in the world – also remains the U.S.’s largest investor. Irrespective of economic factors, both parties continue to share a common set of foreign policy interests such as ensuring strategic stability, adapting to newly emerging security threats in cyberspace, countering terrorism as well as ending regional conflicts. Despite current beliefs of the U.S. administration, effective responses to such globalized threats will require joint efforts and the support of allies, which, from an American perspective, are mostly located in Europe.

As some of the challenges tend to be structural in the long-term, returning to old patterns does not represent a sustainable option. Strengthening the relationship will therefore require redefinition. Having played an important role in tying the transatlantic partners together, international organizations should remain at the core of transatlantic cooperation. In order to maintain a systematic framework for continuous dialogue, it might ultimately be beneficial to facilitate decision-making and revise certain structures as is currently pursued by the EU with regard to the Dispute Settlement System of the WTO. From a security perspective, changing strategic environments and declining trust are forcing the EU to become a more autonomous actor. Strengthening capabilities at operational levels while maintaining a balance between the EU and NATO will be crucial. These changes should be pursued with the qualitative objective of making Europe a more self-sustainable and reliable military partner, thereby easing increasing tensions over the subject of burden-sharing.

Europe will need to assume new responsibilities, actively preserve the assets of democracy and multilateralism despite domestic populist forces and act as a guardian of the values and institutions of the transatlantic relationship – an effort that will require engaging all levels of society. Although transatlantic cooperation will remain a challenge in the near future, historical, cultural and economic ties are too strong for the partnership to unravel entirely.

About the Author:

Patricia Jaworek is currently pursuing her master’s degree in Transatlantic Affairs at the College of Europe in Natolin and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy. Prior to this, she studied law at the University of Hamburg, specializing in EU and public international law. She worked as a legal consultant in EU competition law in Brussels and interned in the German Embassy in Warsaw. At IFAIR, Patricia Jaworek is a regional co-director for North America.